AccuWeather’s team of expert meteorologists, led by Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva, is predicting a significant increase in tropical storm activity for the Atlantic basin from late August through September.
The forecast, released Monday, anticipates 6 to 10 named storms forming between Aug. 27 and Sept. 30. This period typically marks the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, which officially runs through Nov. 30.
AccuWeather cites several factors contributing to the expected uptick in activity including decreasing wind shear and dry air, near record high water temperatures and the clearing of Saharan Dust later this week.
The forecast emphasised the potential for multiple simultaneous storms, stating, “We could see a parade of storms developing during the month of September. There’s a possibility that we could see multiple tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin on the same day, similar to the frequency of storms that we’ve seen during other supercharged hurricane seasons like 2020.”
The statistical peak of hurricane season falls on Sept. 10, and AccuWeather expects the Atlantic basin to be “incredibly active” around this time.
While the National Hurricane Center currently forecasts no tropical activity through Aug. 29, long-range models show no consensus on potential development through Sept. 5.
AccuWeather’s forecast serves as a reminder for residents to stay prepared and vigilant as the most active part of the hurricane season approaches.